Economic News

It’s a matter of maths: consumer inflation is set to fall and house price inflation is set to rise

As far as the Bank of England is concerned, the inflation panic is over for now. You may recall that many feared that one of Mark Carney’s first acts as governor of the Bank of England would be to put pen to paper and knock off a quick letter to...Read More

And now construction sees a big boost

This morning the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on UK construction was out, and boy was it good. It was especially good for residential construction.

The headline PMI for UK construction hit 59.1 – that is seasonally adjusted by the way. To put this in context, any score over...Read More

Posted Sep 03, 2013

The UK’s export-led recovery

Is it for real? We keep hearing talk of an export-led recovery for the UK. But is it simply that the UK exports are so low that any rise looks to be quite significant in percentage terms. A new report from Ernst and Young provides just a hint that this...Read More

Posted Aug 27, 2013

Why haven’t UK exports grown faster?

There is good and bad side to a currency falling in value. A cheaper currency is bad news for importers. It is bad news for consumers who want to pay as little as possible for the goods they buy, and for their holidays abroad. A falling currency can be bad...Read More

Posted Aug 23, 2013

An economy of two halves

The last couple of days has seen news on the UK to delight all but the most cynical. Alas it has also seen news to make the cynical look smug, and say ‘I told you so’.

The good news relates to trade. Exports of goods in the second quarter...Read More

Posted Aug 13, 2013

We don’t need higher interest rates, but we do need a reason to justify higher rates

If only interest rates were higher; it’s the lament of savers everywhere. Then they could enjoy a nice little income from hard-won savings. Some don’t merely sigh; they grimace; they are angry. They worked hard all their life. They saved hard, putting off holidays, sacrificed transitory pleasures today for security,...Read More

Posted Aug 12, 2013

Do we need the super-rich?

"Software (Google and Amazon), hardware and design (Apple), social networking (Facebook and Twitter), biotech, pharmaceuticals, robotics, nanotechnology, entertainment and retail (Wal-Mart)” – these are the bedrocks of modern capitalism. And without high rewards for the innovators – the people who broke the mould and gave us great new innovations –...Read More

Posted Jul 22, 2013

The Zombies are back

In the UK there is something confusing going on. They call it the productivity puzzle. Why is it that during the worst downturn ever suffered by the UK – at least it’s the worst since the beginning of the last century which is how far back the data goes –...Read More

Posted Jul 17, 2013

What will happen to households as rates rise?

The threat posed by debt just won’t die down. Last week we reported that the Bank of England’s figures suggest that the UK cannot afford much higher interest rates. New figures from the Resolution Foundation suggest that the situation is even worse than the Bank of England suggested.

“If...Read More

Posted Jul 15, 2013

UK not as unequal as we thought, or is it?

The rich get richer and the poor get poorer. It sucks, but that is the way of the world. At least that is what most of us assume, but data from the ONS out this week suggests this may be wrong.

Since the start of the economic downturn in...Read More

Posted Jul 12, 2013

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