The rich get richer and the poor get poorer. It sucks, but that is the way of the world. At least that is what most of us assume, but data from the ONS out this week suggests this may be wrong.
Since the start of the economic downturn in 2007/8 the richest 20 per cent of households have seen disposable income fall by 6.8 per cent, the poorest 20 per cent have seen income rise by 6.9 per cent.
It is important that we point out what we mean by disposable income at this point – it’s after taxes and benefits. The ONS has included VAT in the equation, by the way.
In 2011/12 the richest 20 per cent – before taxes and benefits – enjoyed income of £78,300, which is 14 times greater than the poorest fifth, which had an average income of £5,400. That is a ratio of 14 to one.
But take into account taxes and benefits and things look different – very different. The top 20 per cent saw disposable income fall to £57,300, while the bottom 20 per cent saw it rise to £15,800. The ratio changes to just four to one.
So what a bunch of socialists the government of the last few years has been.
Except they haven’t really.
For one thing, the data does not tell the full story. It does not tell us about average income in the top 1 per cent quartile.
Besides if you drill down, things look different. If you look over a much longer time period, say from 1977, a quite different picture emerges. Since 1977, disposable income for the bottom 20 per cent has risen by 1.93 per cent, and by 2.49 per cent for the top 20 per cent.
There is in any case a more noticeable gap between the top 20 per cent and the rest of the population.
Average disposable income for the second poorest 20 per cent was £21,373 in the last financial year, or 1.35 times more than the first 20 per cent. Average disposable income for the middle 20 per cent was £27,526, or 1.29 times the average for the second poorest. Average disposable income for the second richest 20 per cent was £34,437, or 1.25 times the average for the middle 20 per cent. And average disposable income for the richest 20 per cent was 1.66 times the second richest.
But then again, so what? Don’t the rules of numbers mean that the average of the top 20 per cent will always be much higher than everyone else for the simple reason there is no upper limit to the top 20 per cent. The lowest disposable income can be is zero, the highest is… well, it’s infinite.
Instead let’s look at how things have changed.
Equivalised disposable income, by the way, means: “The total income of a household, after tax and other deductions, that is available for spending or saving, divided by the number of household members converted into equalised adults; household members are equalised or made equivalent by weighting each according to their age, using the so-called modified OECD equivalence scale.” See: Glossary: Equivalised disposable income
And by the way just one more point. The proportion of people in the bottom 20 per cent who are retired has fallen over this time period. . This is because retired households have seen incomes growing at a faster rate than those of non-retired households.
© Investment & Business News 2013